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Staging and risk groups

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🎯 Learning objectives

  1. Clinically stage prostate cancer using TNM.
  2. Distinguish clinical stage from imaging-determined stage.
  3. Interpret Gleason and ISUP Grade Group.
  4. Classify a patient by EAU risk.
  5. Recognize localized and locally advanced disease.
  6. Understand the new classifications derived from molecular imaging.
  7. Use PSA, digital rectal exam, biopsy and imaging correctly to build the clinical scenario.
  8. Apply these concepts to real cases.
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🎥 Video lesson

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Video pending upload (embedded YouTube)
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📖 Written content

1. From diagnosis to risk

Once a prostate adenocarcinoma has been diagnosed, saying "the patient has prostate cancer" is not enough to make a treatment decision. We need to answer at least three questions: how far has it spread? (TNM), how histologically aggressive is it? (ISUP Grade Group) and what is its risk of progression or recurrence? (risk classification). These three dimensions complement each other.

2. The three fundamental variables

To initially build the risk of a prostate cancer we must integrate PSA + clinical stage + ISUP Grade Group. They should not be interpreted in isolation.

Example

A patient with PSA 6 + GG1 + cT1c does not have the same disease as another with PSA 52 + GG5 + cT3b, even though both share the same general histological diagnosis of prostatic adenocarcinoma.

3. TNM system

TNM describes the anatomical extent of disease: T (primary tumor), N (regional lymph nodes) and M (distant metastasis). The system used in the teaching material is based on the UICC classification.

4. Clinical T stage

An important concept for the resident: cT is classically based on the digital rectal exam. If we are describing extension identified by MRI or another imaging method, we must specify it and not automatically mix clinical and imaging stage. This is particularly important when we later use risk systems built from clinical stage.

5. T1

T1 = clinically non-palpable tumor. It is divided into:

  • T1a. Tumor incidentally identified in resected tissue, involving ≤5% of the tissue examined.
  • T1b. Incidental tumor involving >5%.
  • T1c. Tumor diagnosed by biopsy, usually prompted by an elevated PSA, with no palpable tumor.

Classic example

PSA 6.2, normal digital rectal exam, biopsy with adenocarcinoma → cT1c.

6. T2

Tumor clinically confined to the prostate.

  • T2a. Involves half of one lobe or less.
  • T2b. Involves more than half of one lobe, but not both.
  • T2c. Involves both lobes.

⚠️ Teaching pearl

Invasion of the prostatic apex or capsule without penetrating it does not make the tumor T3. It remains T2.

7. T3

Here the tumor is no longer clinically confined to the prostate.

  • T3a. Extraprostatic extension, unilateral or bilateral.
  • T3b. Seminal vesicle invasion.

Seminal vesicle = T3b.

8. T4

The tumor invades adjacent structures other than the seminal vesicles: external urethral sphincter, rectum, levator muscles or pelvic wall. T4 = invasion of adjacent structures.

9. N — regional lymph nodes

N describes regional lymph node involvement. In prostate cancer we must distinguish regional from non-regional lymph nodes. This is important because an involved regional node corresponds to N+ disease, whereas certain distant nodes belong to the metastatic category.

10. M — metastatic disease

Classically:

  • M1a. Metastasis to non-regional lymph nodes.
  • M1b. Bone metastasis.
  • M1c. Metastasis to other organs.

This anatomical classification remains fundamental even in the era of PSMA PET.

11. The problem of the new imaging

PSMA PET detects disease with higher sensitivity than many conventional studies. This creates an interesting situation: a patient previously classified as N0 M0 may have small lesions identifiable on PSMA PET. This produces stage migration.

12. Will Rogers phenomenon

When a more sensitive diagnostic technique reclassifies patients, an apparent prognostic improvement can occur in both groups. Patients with disease that previously remained hidden leave the apparently localized group and move to a higher-stage group. As a consequence, the lower-stage group is made up of patients who are truly more favorable, and the advanced group takes on patients with a lower disease volume who previously went undetected.

⚠️ Teaching pearl

This can apparently improve the outcomes of both groups without the individual biology of the disease necessarily having changed: the Will Rogers phenomenon. The teaching material uses this concept to explain the potential impact of molecular staging.

13. PROMISE

With the expansion of molecular imaging, specific systems were developed to standardize the interpretation of PSMA PET. One of them is PROMISE (Prostate Cancer Molecular Imaging Standardized Evaluation), which seeks to provide a structured nomenclature to describe the prostate tumor, lymph node involvement, bone disease, visceral metastases, and the distribution and volume of disease.

14. PROMISE and miTNM

In the context of molecular imaging, molecular staging categories can be used. The material distinguishes, among others: regional lymph nodes (miN), non-regional lymph nodes (miM1a), bone (miM1b) and distant organs (miM1c). In bone disease, the distribution can also be described as single, oligometastatic, disseminated or diffuse bone marrow involvement.

15. Beware of mixing systems

An important teaching point: clinical TNM and miTNM are not interchangeable. If a classification comes from PSMA PET, it must be clear that we are talking about molecular staging. The material also emphasizes that these molecular classifications must still be interpreted taking into account their validation and their relationship to conventional systems.

16. Histological classification

The second major dimension is: how aggressive is the tumor? Tumor architecture is expressed by Gleason and, currently, ISUP Grade Group.

17. Gleason and ISUP

GleasonISUP Grade Group
3+3=6GG1
3+4=7GG2
4+3=7GG3
8GG4
9–10GG5

The higher the Grade Group, the greater the biological aggressiveness.

18. Why is 3+4 not the same as 4+3?

Both add up to 7. But in 3+4 pattern 3 predominates, whereas in 4+3 pattern 4 predominates.

Gleason 4+3 has a worse prognosis than 3+4. This difference explains why they belong to different Grade Groups.

19. EAU risk classification

Now we integrate PSA + cT + ISUP GG. Risk classification groups patients with relatively similar probabilities of progression/recurrence and guides treatment decisions. The teaching material derives it from the D'Amico-type risk classification and divides it into clinically useful groups.

20. Low risk

Typical features: ISUP GG1 + PSA <10 ng/mL + cT1–T2. It represents the lowest-risk scenario within localized disease. These patients are especially important to consider for strategies such as active surveillance when they meet the other clinical criteria.

21. Intermediate risk

There is considerable heterogeneity within intermediate risk. We can conceptualize patients with favorable and unfavorable features.

  • Favorable intermediate. GG2 with low PSA and clinically localized disease, or GG1 with PSA between 10 and 20 ng/mL.
  • Unfavorable intermediate. Combinations with a greater burden of intermediate factors, or GG3.

⚠️ Teaching pearl

Not all intermediate risks behave the same way.

22. Localized high risk

High-risk features include ISUP GG4–5 and/or PSA >20 ng/mL, depending on the combination of factors and the system used. These patients have a higher risk of recurrence, progression, nodal disease and metastatic disease. For this reason they need an appropriate extension work-up and often multimodal treatment strategies.

23. Locally advanced

When we find cT3–T4 and/or cN+, we enter the scenario of locally advanced disease. Here it is particularly important not to simply call the patient "high risk": the anatomical extent has its own diagnostic and therapeutic implications.

24. Cambridge Prognostic Group

There is also the Cambridge Prognostic Group (CPG), which integrates Grade Group, PSA and T stage, and divides non-metastatic disease into five prognostic groups. The material includes it for teaching purposes, making clear that it is presented as a complementary system and not as the main classification used in the guideline being taught.

25. Why do we classify?

We do not classify for academic reasons. We classify because risk changes treatment. Depending on the scenario, we may end up discussing active surveillance, radical prostatectomy, radiotherapy, hormonal therapy, multimodal strategies or systemic treatment.

Final concept

For every new diagnosis of prostate cancer, the resident should be able to answer three questions before discussing treatment: what is the extent? what is the histological aggressiveness? and which risk group does the patient belong to?

⬇ Download material (PDF)

PDF pending upload.

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🔑 Key concepts

  1. Diagnosing prostate cancer is not enough.
  2. Every resident must be able to build: TNM + ISUP + risk.
  3. The classic cT is based fundamentally on clinical evaluation.
  4. Seminal vesicle = T3b.
  5. Gleason 3+4 = GG2.
  6. Gleason 4+3 = GG3.
  7. PSA, cT and ISUP allow the risk classification to be built.
  8. PSMA PET is changing our ability to detect disease and produces stage migration.
  9. Conventional TNM and molecular staging must be correctly identified.
  10. Classification makes sense because it defines the scenario in which we are going to choose treatment.
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📋 Practical algorithm

Biopsy positive for adenocarcinoma:

1. Histology

Gleason → ISUP Grade Group.

2. PSA 3. Clinical exam

Digital rectal exam → cT.

4. Imaging according to risk

MRI ± nodal/metastatic staging ± PSMA PET as indicated.

5. TNM

T + N + M.

6. Risk classification

PSA + cT + ISUP → low risk / intermediate risk / high risk / locally advanced / metastatic.

7. Choice of treatment
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💡 Tips & Tricks

5 common resident mistakes

  1. "PI-RADS 5 means T3." False — PI-RADS expresses suspicion of clinically significant cancer; it is not equivalent to T stage.
  2. "Gleason 3+4 and 4+3 are the same because both add up to 7." False — they correspond to GG2 and GG3 respectively.
  3. "A positive PSMA PET automatically means M1." False — it depends on the location; a regional lymph node can represent N1.
  4. "Seminal vesicle invasion is T4." False — seminal vesicle = T3b.
  5. "Extracapsular extension seen on MRI automatically changes the cT based on digital rectal exam." Careful — we must specify the method by which we are performing the staging.
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🧠 Clinical cases

Clinical case 1

58-year-old man. PSA: 5.8 ng/mL. Digital rectal exam: normal. Biopsy: 2/12 cores positive, Gleason 3+3=6. Bone imaging without lesions.

Step 1 — TNM

Non-palpable tumor, diagnosed by biopsy prompted by PSA → cT1c. No nodal evidence → N0. No metastasis → M0. Result: cT1cN0M0.

Step 2 — ISUP

Gleason 3+3=6 → ISUP GG1.

Step 3 — Risk

PSA <10 + GG1 + cT1 → low risk. The teaching material reaches this same classification and uses it as an example of CPG1.

Clinical case 2

66-year-old man. PSA: 10.34 ng/mL. Digital rectal exam: small nodule in the right lobe. Biopsy: Gleason 3+4=7, 3/14 cores positive. PSMA PET: prostatic uptake with no evidence of nodal involvement or distant metastasis.

TNM

Nodule limited to a small portion of one lobe → cT2aN0M0.

ISUP

Gleason 3+4 → GG2.

Risk

We are dealing with intermediate risk. Here begins a much more interesting clinical discussion than simply memorizing a table: disease volume, percentage of pattern 4, biopsy burden, MRI, PSA density and life expectancy can modify the subsequent treatment strategy. The case and its classification are developed in the original material.

Clinical case 3

74-year-old patient. PSA: 52 ng/mL. Digital rectal exam: fixed prostate. MRI: peripheral PI-RADS 5 lesion, extracapsular extension, left seminal vesicle invasion, external iliac lymphadenopathy. Biopsy: Gleason 4+5=9. PSMA PET: intensely avid prostatic lesion, extracapsular extension, seminal vesicle invasion, external iliac lymphadenopathy consistent with nodal involvement, no bone lesions.

TNM

Seminal vesicle invasion → T3b. Regional lymph node involved → N1. No distant metastasis → M0. Result: cT3bN1M0.

ISUP

Gleason 4+5=9 → ISUP GG5.

Classification

This patient should not be described simply as localized high-risk cancer. He has locally advanced disease with regional lymph node involvement. The teaching material classifies the case as cT3bN1M0, GG5 and locally advanced.

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✅ Self-assessment

Questions pending upload Multiple-choice questions on this lesson.
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📚 References

Previous lesson: Pathology and ISUP (coming soon) Back to module